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Opinion: Why this market rally looks like a classic investor trap – MarketWatch

April 14
15:31 2016

The U.S. stock market’s rally from its dismal start to the year appears to be a classic investor trap.

Many investors have the tendency to jump in a bit too early on first signs of improvement in economic indicators or positive news. But the markets are primed to trap the solvent investors and fool the most rational among us.

Nowadays, in a world of high-frequency trading and speculative derivatives, it is hard for even the most experienced investors to stay rational, let alone be clear on whether to buy or hold or sell. This is why so many experts on Wall Street are giving so much conflicting advice. Current forecasting science and predictive models are not yet developed enough to time the market for the next month or quarter.

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